Fantasy Basketball First Trades

Thu, Nov 6, 7:10 PM PDT I made the following trade. It went through Sat, Nov 8, 7:32 PM PST. Looking at the 2009 stats it does not look great.

	PR	PRK	GP	FG%	FT%	3PM	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LaMarcus Aldridge	4.97	10	6	.471	.667	0.3	6.5	1.8	0.7	2.0	19.3
Marc Gasol	4.57	10	6	.568	.714	0.0	8.8	1.0	0.7	1.2	10.5
for
Elton Brand	2.67	18	6	.461	.692	0.0	11.8	1.2	0.5	0.7	14.7

But looking at the 2009 projections it looks fantastic.

	RNK	FG%	FT%	3PM	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	.487	.757	0.0	7.7	1.4	0.7	1.4	17.0
Marc Gasol	113	.530	.647	0.0	7.7	1.1	0.3	1.1	13.8
for
Elton Brand	14	.522	.770	0.0	9.4	2.7	0.7	2.3	21.5

My reasoning for the trade is that Elton Brand is a 2nd round player while Aldridge is a 9th round player and Gasol is a bench player. However Brand has been struggling, apparently because he keeps getting double-teamed since the rest of his team is so weak. Brand also did not play most of last season so the jury is still out on how effective he will be. Philadelphia did give him a ton of money to be a top player and lots of prognosticators were giddy about Philadelphia’s prospects. Aldridge is up and coming and looking stronger every game this season. Maybe he will blossom this season like a young Chris Bosh.

Immediately after this trade I made another trade at Thu, Nov 6, 9:08 PM PDT. It went through Sat, Nov 8, 9:29 PM PST. Looking at the 2009 stats it looks quite favorable for me.

	PR	PRK	GP	FG%	FT%	3PM	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Troy Murphy	4.41	12	5	.447	.500	2.4	10.4	2.6	1.4	0.8	11.6
for
Tracy McGrady	5.72	12	6	.405	.841	0.5	4.8	5.5	1.8	0.2	18.7

It does not look as good based on the 2009 projections.

	RNK	FG%	FT%	3PM	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Troy Murphy	80	.452	.786	1.2	8.5	2.3	0.8	0.5	13.8
for
Tracy McGrady	108	.421	.701	1.5	5.3	5.9	1.1	0.5	22.8

My reasoning for the trade is that while Troy Murphy is a solid player, a 9th round pick, Tracy McGrady could be a top 50 player, a 4th to 5th round pick. He is a high risk, high reward play because of his injury history. It does not help my confidence in this trade that he went 1/11 in his latest game. But in the end, I think that Troy Murphy was not too big of a price to pay.